Ajax vs PEC Zwolle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ajax v PEC Zwolle — Team-Based Signals
Ajax vs PEC Zwolle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
PEC Zwolle
HOL
3-0
HT 1-0
PEC Zwolle
HOL
0-2
HT 0-1
Ajax
HOL
0-2
HT 0-2
Ajax
HOL
4-0
HT 3-0
PEC Zwolle
HOL
Ajax 0-1 PEC Zwolle — Actual Match Statistics
PEC Zwolle edged past Ajax 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Ajax at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ajax had 71% of the ball to PEC Zwolle's 29%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 1.99 to 0.38 — on chances, Ajax could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Ajax and 0.50 for PEC Zwolle.
What was the final score of Ajax vs PEC Zwolle?
Ajax 0-1 PEC Zwolle in the Friendlies on 05/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ajax vs PEC Zwolle?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ajax 53%, draw 25%, PEC Zwolle 22%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.