05/07/2024
·
14:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Viktoria Plzen vs Karlsruher SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
24%
Draw
24%
29%
Away Win
26%
44%
Under 2.5
38%
56%
Over 2.5
62%
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
48%
BTTS No
37%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Viktoria Plzen v Karlsruher SC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Viktoria Plzen
EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY
Karlsruher SC
EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% /
-5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+28% /
+28%
2.34/1.36
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.04/1.28
+38%
/
-12%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-13%
/
+26%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
401 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
286 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
–
Viktoria Plzen vs Karlsruher SC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Viktoria Plzen
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Karlsruher SC
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
46%
Ball Possession
54%
13
Total Shots
6
7
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
The Meetings
10.07.2023
Viktoria Plzen
3-0
Karlsruher SC
HAZ
3-0
Karlsruher SC
HAZ
POST-MATCH
Viktoria Plzen vs Karlsruher SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Viktoria Plzen saw off Karlsruher SC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Viktoria Plzen as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Viktoria Plzen vs Karlsruher SC?
Viktoria Plzen 2-0 Karlsruher SC in the Friendlies on 05/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Viktoria Plzen vs Karlsruher SC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Plzen 47%, draw 24%, Karlsruher SC 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
5 Jul 2024