Swarovski Tirol 2-4 Vaduz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Jul 2024

Swarovski Tirol
2-4
Vaduz
📅05/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Swarovski Tirol vs Vaduz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.41
No
46%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
67%
-12.9pp
46%
BTTS No
33%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Swarovski Tirol v Vaduz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Vaduz EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -63%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Swarovski Tirol 2-4 Vaduz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swarovski Tirol
2-4
AWAY Vaduz
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Swarovski Tirol vs Vaduz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vaduz saw off Swarovski Tirol 4-2 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Vaduz made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Swarovski Tirol had 46% of the ball to Vaduz's 54%, shots finished 17-9.

What was the final score of Swarovski Tirol vs Vaduz?

Swarovski Tirol 2-4 Vaduz in the Friendlies on 05/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swarovski Tirol vs Vaduz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swarovski Tirol win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Swarovski Tirol 38%, draw 26%, Vaduz 35%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Swarovski Tirol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swarovski Tirol) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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