Basel 1-1 Braunschweig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Jul 2024

Basel
1-1
Braunschweig
📅05/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Basel vs Braunschweig Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.87
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.87 — our 25% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-5.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.0pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Basel v Braunschweig — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
2.12/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.10/0.95
+36% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -93% / +47%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Basel vs Braunschweig Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Braunschweig
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
5 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
The Meetings
14.01.2014 Basel Basel 0-1 HT 0-1 Braunschweig Braunschweig HAZ
POST-MATCH Basel vs Braunschweig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel and Braunschweig shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Basel vs Braunschweig?

Basel 1-1 Braunschweig in the Friendlies on 05/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel vs Braunschweig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Basel 36%, draw 30%, Braunschweig 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Basel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Basel) ✓ Under 2.5
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