Sparta Prag 3-0 Spartak Trnava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Jul 2024

📅05/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.32
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.98
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-14.2pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.3pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 15%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
3.34/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/2.15
+46% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / +1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
3-0
AWAY Spartak Trnava
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Spartak Trnava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag cruised past Spartak Trnava 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 62% of the ball to Spartak Trnava's 38%, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Spartak Trnava?

Sparta Prag 3-0 Spartak Trnava in the Friendlies on 05/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Spartak Trnava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 57%, draw 22%, Spartak Trnava 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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