Perugia vs Vis Pesaro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Perugia v Vis Pesaro — Team-Based Signals
Perugia vs Vis Pesaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-1
Vis Pesaro
İTC
0-1
HT 0-1
Perugia
İTC
2-1
HT 0-0
Vis Pesaro
İTC
Perugia 2-1 Vis Pesaro — Actual Match Statistics
Perugia edged past Vis Pesaro 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Perugia as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Perugia had 57% of the ball to Vis Pesaro's 43%, shots finished 23-3.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Perugia and 0.83 for Vis Pesaro.
What was the final score of Perugia vs Vis Pesaro?
Perugia 2-1 Vis Pesaro in the Italy - Serie C on 24/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Perugia vs Vis Pesaro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Perugia 48%, draw 27%, Vis Pesaro 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perugia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.