Nara Club 2-1 Sagamihara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 24 Nov 2025

📅24/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
43%
+4.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nara Club EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.65/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.25
+17% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.5 Crosses 17.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nara Club
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Sagamihara
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
438 Passes 306
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
4 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-1 HT 1-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
10.11.2024 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-2 HT 1-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
08.06.2024 Nara Club Nara Club 2-1 HT 1-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
18.11.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 2-1 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
15.07.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 3-2 HT 0-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nara Club
2-1
AWAY Sagamihara
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 13
186 Passes 299
61% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nara Club vs Sagamihara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nara Club edged past Sagamihara 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nara Club as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nara Club had 42% of the ball to Sagamihara's 58%, shots finished 9-18.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nara Club had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Nara Club and 1.40 for Sagamihara.

What was the final score of Nara Club vs Sagamihara?

Nara Club 2-1 Sagamihara in the Japan - J3 League on 24/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nara Club vs Sagamihara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nara Club win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Nara Club 48%, draw 26%, Sagamihara 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nara Club) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nara Club) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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