CDS Tampico Madero 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 24 Nov 2025

📅24/11/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
44%
-11.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
39%
Away Win
28%
+10.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos EU Bookmakers 32%
+14% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
1.43/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.31
-5% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
335 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CDS Tampico Madero
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.11.2025 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-1 HT 0-1 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
10.08.2025 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-0 HT 0-0 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
30.03.2025 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 2-1 HT 2-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
12.10.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 HT 1-0 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CDS Tampico Madero
1-0
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH CDS Tampico Madero vs Tepatitlán de Morelos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CDS Tampico Madero nicked a narrow win over Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; CDS Tampico Madero found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CDS Tampico Madero had 52% of the ball to Tepatitlán de Morelos's 48%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, CDS Tampico Madero had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CDS Tampico Madero and 0.50 for Tepatitlán de Morelos.

What was the final score of CDS Tampico Madero vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

CDS Tampico Madero 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos in the Mexico - Primera A on 24/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CDS Tampico Madero vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tepatitlán de Morelos win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CDS Tampico Madero 33%, draw 28%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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