Gzira United 1-0 Mosta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 24 Nov 2025

📅24/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.78
Over 2.5
41%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gzira United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Mosta EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.11/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.03
-7% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gzira United
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Mosta
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.10.2025 Mosta Mosta 3-4 HT 1-2 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
29.08.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 2-0 HT 1-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
17.03.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 2-1 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
26.11.2023 Mosta Mosta 0-3 HT 0-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
01.04.2023 Gzira United Gzira United 1-2 HT 1-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP
04.11.2022 Mosta Mosta 0-2 HT 0-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gzira United
1-0
AWAY Mosta
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gzira United vs Mosta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gzira United edged past Mosta 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 33%) promised a tight game; Gzira United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gzira United had 53% of the ball to Mosta's 47%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gzira United had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Gzira United and 1.00 for Mosta.

What was the final score of Gzira United vs Mosta?

Gzira United 1-0 Mosta in the Malta - Premier League on 24/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gzira United vs Mosta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gzira United 40%, draw 26%, Mosta 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gzira United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gzira United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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