El Geish 2-2 Zamalek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 24 Dec 2024

📅24/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
53%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+4.1pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
53%
Away Win
53%
+0.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.9pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Geish EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamalek EU Bookmakers 56%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
0.63/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.75
-40% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
215 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 81%
11.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
14.0 Crosses 21.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Geish
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Zamalek
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.85 xG 1.41
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
233 Passes 446
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.08.2024 Zamalek Zamalek 1-1 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSRK
14.08.2024 Zamalek Zamalek 1-3 HT 1-2 El Geish El Geish MSR
11.07.2024 El Geish El Geish 1-2 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
30.05.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 2-0 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
07.12.2022 El Geish El Geish 0-4 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
17.05.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 0-1 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Geish
2-2
AWAY Zamalek
1.69 xG 0.56
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
213 Passes 445
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH El Geish vs Zamalek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Geish and Zamalek shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Zamalek at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, El Geish had 37% of the ball to Zamalek's 63%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.69 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for El Geish and 1.67 for Zamalek.

What was the final score of El Geish vs Zamalek?

El Geish 2-2 Zamalek in the Egypt - Premier League on 24/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Geish vs Zamalek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split El Geish 23%, draw 24%, Zamalek 53%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zamalek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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