Al Nassr 5-1 Al Zawraa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 24 Dec 2025

📅24/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.16
Draw
15%
7.13
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.17
Over 2.5
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.99
No
46%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.57
2-3 Goals
35%
2.27
4-5 Goals
30%
2.33
6+ Goals
14%
4.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
82%
-10.9pp
15%
Draw
11%
+3.9pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.9pp
46%
BTTS No
54%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Zawraa EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+58% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
475 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 77%
37.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Zawraa
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.54 xG 0.34
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
409 Passes 198
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
29 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2025 Al Zawraa Al Zawraa 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr AFCŞL2
23.04.2019 Al Zawraa Al Zawraa 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr AŞMP
08.04.2019 Al Nassr Al Nassr 4-1 HT 2-1 Al Zawraa Al Zawraa AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
5-1
AWAY Al Zawraa
1.60 xG 0.89
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
481 Passes 370
91% Pass Accuracy 88%
29 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 7
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Al Zawraa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr cruised past Al Zawraa 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Al Nassr had 56% of the ball to Al Zawraa's 44%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.60 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Al Nassr and 0.67 for Al Zawraa.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Zawraa?

Al Nassr 5-1 Al Zawraa in the AFCŞL2 on 24/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Zawraa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 71%, draw 15%, Al Zawraa 14%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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