FC Goa 1-2 Istiqlol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 24 Dec 2025

📅24/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
17%
3.94
Away
57%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.06
2-3 Goals
32%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
35%
2.91
6+ Goals
7%
8.73
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.91 — our 35% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
11%
X/X
3%
2/1
7%
2/2
42%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+3.1pp
17%
Draw
22%
-5.3pp
57%
Away Win
55%
+2.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Goa EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Istiqlol EU Bookmakers 59%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
193 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 463 · 83%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Goa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Istiqlol
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.64 xG 0.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
277 Passes 388
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2025 Istiqlol Istiqlol 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Goa FC Goa AFCŞL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Goa
1-2
AWAY Istiqlol
0.78 xG 2.77
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
295 Passes 459
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 41
9 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Goa vs Istiqlol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Istiqlol nicked a narrow win over FC Goa 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Istiqlol as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Goa had 42% of the ball to Istiqlol's 58%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 0.78 to 2.77 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Istiqlol's control.

What was the final score of FC Goa vs Istiqlol?

FC Goa 1-2 Istiqlol in the AFCŞL2 on 24/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Goa vs Istiqlol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Istiqlol win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FC Goa 26%, draw 17%, Istiqlol 57%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Istiqlol), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Istiqlol) ✓ Over 2.5
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