Arkadag 1-0 Khalidiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 24 Dec 2025

Arkadag
1-0 HT 1-0
Khalidiya
📅24/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
AFCŞL2 – 2025/2026

Arkadag vs Khalidiya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
43%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.74
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.94
6+ Goals
6%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 31% vs market 29.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
23%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.9pp
43%
Away Win
38%
+5.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arkadag v Khalidiya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arkadag EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -73% / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
– Crosses 12.0
– Yellow Cards 0.8

Arkadag vs Khalidiya Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arkadag
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Khalidiya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.84 xG 0.99
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
342 Passes 371
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 21
40 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.10.2025 Khalidiya Khalidiya 2-0 HT 2-0 Arkadag Arkadag AFCŞL2

Arkadag 1-0 Khalidiya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arkadag
1-0
AWAY Khalidiya
1.15 xG 0.65
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
222 Passes 406
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
7 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 37
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arkadag vs Khalidiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arkadag nicked a narrow win over Khalidiya 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Khalidiya at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arkadag had 38% of the ball to Khalidiya's 62%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.15 to 0.65.

What was the final score of Arkadag vs Khalidiya?

Arkadag 1-0 Khalidiya in the AFCŞL2 on 24/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arkadag vs Khalidiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Khalidiya win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Arkadag 32%, draw 25%, Khalidiya 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Khalidiya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Khalidiya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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