Muharraq 0-3 Esteghlal FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 24 Dec 2025

📅24/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.53
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.29
6+ Goals
6%
22.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.4pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muharraq EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Esteghlal FC EU Bookmakers 40%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
262 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 75%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muharraq
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Esteghlal FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.07 xG 0.29
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 10
122 Passes 324
59% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2025 Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq AFCŞL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muharraq
0-3
AWAY Esteghlal FC
1.07 xG 2.12
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
181 Passes 378
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Muharraq vs Esteghlal FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal FC cruised past Muharraq 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Esteghlal FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Muharraq had 37% of the ball to Esteghlal FC's 63%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.07 to 2.12.

What was the final score of Muharraq vs Esteghlal FC?

Muharraq 0-3 Esteghlal FC in the AFCŞL2 on 24/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muharraq vs Esteghlal FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Esteghlal FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Muharraq 35%, draw 27%, Esteghlal FC 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esteghlal FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Esteghlal FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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