Ebbsfleet United 0-1 Braintree Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
43%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.5
6+ Goals
8%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 30% vs market 26.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.99
1/2
7%
24.3
1/X
6%
15.1
X/1
10%
7.63
X/2
14%
4.38
X/X
15%
4.83
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.58
2/X
9%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+1.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-6.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 53%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.03/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.03/2.03
-17% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -41%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
296 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Braintree Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2024 Braintree Town Braintree Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
13.09.2022 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 4-0 HT 2-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İCON
15.03.2022 Braintree Town Braintree Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
26.10.2021 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-0 HT 0-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İCON
06.10.2020 Braintree Town Braintree Town 0-3 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
01.01.2019 Braintree Town Braintree Town 0-4 HT 0-2 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
0-1
AWAY Braintree Town
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
0 Passes 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Braintree Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Braintree Town nicked a narrow win over Ebbsfleet United 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Braintree Town as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 47% of the ball to Braintree Town's 53%, shots finished 8-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Ebbsfleet United and 0.17 for Braintree Town.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Braintree Town?

Ebbsfleet United 0-1 Braintree Town in the England - National League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Braintree Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Braintree Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 27%, draw 30%, Braintree Town 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Braintree Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Braintree Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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