Gateshead 1-1 Oldham Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.66
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
9.89
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.66 — our 27% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.24
1/2
6%
24.3
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
9%
6.38
X/2
18%
5.27
X/X
11%
5.12
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
14%
3.16
2/X
10%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.0pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.02/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.40
-26% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
173 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 182 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Oldham Athletic
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2024 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
23.12.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-2 HT 1-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
02.09.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 2-2 HT 0-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
21.02.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 2-1 HT 1-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
14.02.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-2 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
14.01.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 3-1 HT 1-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gateshead
1-1
AWAY Oldham Athletic
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
1 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Oldham Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gateshead and Oldham Athletic couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gateshead had 50% of the ball to Oldham Athletic's 50%, shots finished 6-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gateshead had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gateshead and 1.33 for Oldham Athletic.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Oldham Athletic?

Gateshead 1-1 Oldham Athletic in the England - National League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Oldham Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 35%, draw 27%, Oldham Athletic 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Oldham Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
25 Jan 2025
18:00 AFC Fylde vs Wealdstone Analysis →
18:00 Hartlepool United vs Woking Analysis →
18:00 Altrincham vs Forest Green Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Ebbsfleet United vs Braintree Town Analysis →
18:00 Sutton United vs Eastleigh Analysis →
18:00 Dagenham & Redbridge vs Southend United Analysis →