Oldham Athletic 1-1 Gateshead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 27% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.7
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
12%
5.6
X/2
8%
5.5
X/X
12%
4.83
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
24%
3.6
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Gateshead EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +19%
1.54/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.39
+11% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oldham Athletic
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gateshead
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-2 HT 1-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
02.09.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 2-2 HT 0-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
21.02.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 2-1 HT 1-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
14.02.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-2 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
14.01.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 3-1 HT 1-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic FAK
10.11.2019 Gateshead Gateshead 1-2 HT 0-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oldham Athletic
1-1
AWAY Gateshead
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oldham Athletic vs Gateshead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oldham Athletic and Gateshead couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Oldham Athletic had 48% of the ball to Gateshead's 52%, shots finished 20-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gateshead led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Oldham Athletic and 2.00 for Gateshead.

What was the final score of Oldham Athletic vs Gateshead?

Oldham Athletic 1-1 Gateshead in the England - National League on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oldham Athletic vs Gateshead?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Oldham Athletic 34%, draw 26%, Gateshead 40%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gateshead) ✗ Over 2.5
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