Eastleigh 1-1 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Aug 2024

Eastleigh
1-1 HT 1-1
Sutton United
📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Eastleigh vs Sutton United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.41
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
3.47
6+ Goals
9%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.49
1/2
9%
29.0
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
11%
5.3
X/2
7%
5.73
X/X
18%
4.72
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
19%
3.88
2/X
8%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-6.1pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eastleigh v Sutton United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.76/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.08
+22% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
316 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9

Eastleigh vs Sutton United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastleigh
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sutton United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
24.04.2021 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-0 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
23.01.2021 Sutton United Sutton United 3-0 HT 2-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
13.08.2019 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-1 HT 1-1 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
19.01.2019 Eastleigh Eastleigh 3-2 HT 1-1 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
07.08.2018 Sutton United Sutton United 1-0 HT 1-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
02.12.2017 Sutton United Sutton United 2-0 HT 1-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL

Eastleigh 1-1 Sutton United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastleigh
1-1
AWAY Sutton United
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Eastleigh vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastleigh and Sutton United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 32% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Eastleigh had 34% of the ball to Sutton United's 66%, shots finished 5-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sutton United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Eastleigh and 1.50 for Sutton United.

What was the final score of Eastleigh vs Sutton United?

Eastleigh 1-1 Sutton United in the England - National League on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastleigh vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Eastleigh 33%, draw 32%, Sutton United 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sutton United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sutton United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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