Forest Green Rovers 2-1 Altrincham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.89
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.16
6+ Goals
13%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.52
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
16%
4.45
X/2
13%
7.8
X/X
7%
5.18
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
22.7
2/2
8%
5.53
2/X
7%
13.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+2.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Altrincham EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.61/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.83
-1% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forest Green Rovers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Altrincham
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
28.11.2015 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-0 HT 2-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
08.08.2015 Altrincham Altrincham 0-1 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
14.02.2015 Altrincham Altrincham 2-2 HT 2-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
06.12.2014 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
09.04.2011 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
15.03.2011 Altrincham Altrincham 2-1 HT 0-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forest Green Rovers
2-1
AWAY Altrincham
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Forest Green Rovers vs Altrincham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forest Green Rovers squeezed past Altrincham 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Forest Green Rovers as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Forest Green Rovers had 38% of the ball to Altrincham's 62%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forest Green Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Forest Green Rovers and 0.83 for Altrincham.

What was the final score of Forest Green Rovers vs Altrincham?

Forest Green Rovers 2-1 Altrincham in the England - National League on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forest Green Rovers vs Altrincham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Forest Green Rovers 52%, draw 22%, Altrincham 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forest Green Rovers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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