Woking 3-2 Hartlepool United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.99
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.9
6+ Goals
8%
17.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 30% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.72
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
14%
5.33
X/2
10%
5.46
X/X
11%
4.39
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
14%
3.85
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.4pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Woking EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.05/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.10
-25% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Woking
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hartlepool United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.02.2024 Woking Woking 1-1 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
16.09.2023 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 0-2 HT 0-0 Woking Woking İBSL
20.03.2021 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-0 HT 0-0 Woking Woking İBSL
12.12.2020 Woking Woking 3-0 HT 2-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
07.12.2019 Woking Woking 2-1 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
07.09.2019 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-1 HT 1-0 Woking Woking İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Woking
3-2
AWAY Hartlepool United
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Woking vs Hartlepool United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Woking nicked a narrow win over Hartlepool United 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Woking as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Woking had 59% of the ball to Hartlepool United's 41%, shots finished 16-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Woking had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Woking and 0.67 for Hartlepool United.

What was the final score of Woking vs Hartlepool United?

Woking 3-2 Hartlepool United in the England - National League on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Woking vs Hartlepool United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Woking win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Woking 43%, draw 26%, Hartlepool United 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Woking) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Woking) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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