Maidenhead United 3-1 Barnet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Aug 2024

Maidenhead United
3-1 HT 2-1
Barnet
📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Maidenhead United vs Barnet Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
50%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.35
2-3 Goals
45%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.96
6+ Goals
9%
8.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.7
1/2
7%
21.45
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
8%
8.23
X/2
12%
4.36
X/X
8%
5.63
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
34.5
2/2
31%
2.38
2/X
7%
13.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 9% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.1pp
50%
Away Win
52%
-1.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maidenhead United v Barnet — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnet EU Bookmakers 56%
+4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -14%
1.21/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.36
-4% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Maidenhead United vs Barnet Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidenhead United
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Barnet
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 2-2 HT 1-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
21.10.2023 Barnet Barnet 3-2 HT 1-2 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
22.04.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-1 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
22.10.2022 Barnet Barnet 2-1 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
26.03.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-2 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
04.12.2021 Barnet Barnet 3-0 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL

Maidenhead United 3-1 Barnet — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidenhead United
3-1
AWAY Barnet
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maidenhead United vs Barnet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidenhead United saw off Barnet 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Barnet at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Maidenhead United had 36% of the ball to Barnet's 64%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnet led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Maidenhead United and 2.17 for Barnet.

What was the final score of Maidenhead United vs Barnet?

Maidenhead United 3-1 Barnet in the England - National League on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidenhead United vs Barnet?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Maidenhead United 29%, draw 21%, Barnet 50%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barnet) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barnet) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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