Yeovil 0-1 Rochdale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Aug 2024

Yeovil
0-1 HT 0-0
Rochdale
📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Yeovil vs Rochdale Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.71
Over 2.5
36%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.82
No
62%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.16
6+ Goals
8%
20.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 38% vs market 29.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.64
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
11%
5.19
X/2
10%
5.67
X/X
16%
4.13
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
15%
4.12
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
55%
+9.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
45%
-9.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
51%
-13.2pp
62%
BTTS No
49%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yeovil v Rochdale — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeovil EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochdale EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.03/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.50
-30% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
282 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Yeovil vs Rochdale Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeovil
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rochdale
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
The Meetings
28.03.2015 Rochdale Rochdale 2-1 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İN1
25.10.2014 Yeovil Yeovil 0-3 HT 0-2 Rochdale Rochdale İN1
07.04.2012 Yeovil Yeovil 3-1 HT 2-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN1
17.12.2011 Rochdale Rochdale 0-0 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İN1
22.01.2011 Yeovil Yeovil 0-1 HT 0-1 Rochdale Rochdale İN1
09.10.2010 Rochdale Rochdale 0-1 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İN1
POST-MATCH Yeovil vs Rochdale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale nicked a narrow win over Yeovil 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Rochdale found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rochdale led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Yeovil and 1.17 for Rochdale.

What was the final score of Yeovil vs Rochdale?

Yeovil 0-1 Rochdale in the England - National League on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeovil vs Rochdale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yeovil win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Yeovil 37%, draw 29%, Rochdale 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Yeovil) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yeovil) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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