Exeter City 1-3 Blackpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 29% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.68
1/2
9%
26.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
13%
6.52
X/2
10%
5.07
X/X
12%
4.51
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
19%
3.15
2/X
9%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Exeter City EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackpool EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
0.97/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.34
-25% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 72%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.6 Crosses 19.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Exeter City
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Blackpool
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.76 xG 1.40
52% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
358 Passes 283
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2024 Blackpool Blackpool 2-1 HT 1-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
13.01.2024 Blackpool Blackpool 2-0 HT 1-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
12.08.2023 Exeter City Exeter City 0-0 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
10.11.2018 Exeter City Exeter City 2-3 HT 0-3 Blackpool Blackpool FAK
28.05.2017 Blackpool Blackpool 2-1 HT 1-1 Exeter City Exeter City İN2
25.02.2017 Exeter City Exeter City 2-2 HT 1-2 Blackpool Blackpool İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Exeter City
1-3
AWAY Blackpool
0.79 xG 2.26
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
466 Passes 206
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 27
30 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Exeter City vs Blackpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackpool beat Exeter City 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Blackpool made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Exeter City had 66% of the ball to Blackpool's 34%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 0.79 to 2.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackpool led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Exeter City and 1.83 for Blackpool.

What was the final score of Exeter City vs Blackpool?

Exeter City 1-3 Blackpool in the England - 1st Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Exeter City vs Blackpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Blackpool win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Exeter City 34%, draw 28%, Blackpool 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackpool) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Blackpool) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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