Stockport County 2-0 Crawley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 25 Jan 2025

Stockport County
2-0 HT 2-0
Crawley Town
📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Stockport County vs Crawley Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.03
6+ Goals
12%
10.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 26% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.76
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.2
X/1
13%
3.85
X/2
7%
13.0
X/X
14%
6.22
2/1
9%
21.7
2/2
8%
10.95
2/X
6%
19.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-9.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.8pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stockport County v Crawley Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockport County EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 18%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.89/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.71
+3% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -23%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
337 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 65%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
18.3 Crosses 14.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Stockport County vs Crawley Town Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockport County
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Crawley Town
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.55 xG 0.93
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
272 Passes 275
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.09.2024 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
18.03.2024 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
02.09.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 3-3 HT 2-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
14.02.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 2-1 HT 1-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
13.09.2022 Crawley Town Crawley Town 3-2 HT 2-1 Stockport County Stockport County İN2

Stockport County 2-0 Crawley Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockport County
2-0
AWAY Crawley Town
2.37 xG 0.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 0
299 Passes 376
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
38 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stockport County vs Crawley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County got the better of Crawley Town 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Stockport County had 46% of the ball to Crawley Town's 54%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 2.37 to 0.17.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Stockport County and 1.80 for Crawley Town.

What was the final score of Stockport County vs Crawley Town?

Stockport County 2-0 Crawley Town in the England - 1st Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockport County vs Crawley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 55%, draw 24%, Crawley Town 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stockport County) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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