Crawley Town 1-1 Stockport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.45
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
21.85
1/X
8%
14.7
X/1
12%
8.92
X/2
15%
4.17
X/X
9%
5.49
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.26
2/X
7%
14.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.85 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+5.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-6.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockport County EU Bookmakers 57%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-57% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
250 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 71%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crawley Town
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Stockport County
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.81 xG 1.54
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
245 Passes 288
67% Pass Accuracy 69%
15 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.03.2024 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
02.09.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 3-3 HT 2-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
14.02.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 2-1 HT 1-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
13.09.2022 Crawley Town Crawley Town 3-2 HT 2-1 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crawley Town
1-1
AWAY Stockport County
1.40 xG 1.56
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
394 Passes 209
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Crawley Town vs Stockport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crawley Town and Stockport County couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Stockport County at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Crawley Town had 63% of the ball to Stockport County's 37%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.40 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Crawley Town and 2.00 for Stockport County.

What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Stockport County?

Crawley Town 1-1 Stockport County in the England - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Stockport County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 29%, draw 24%, Stockport County 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stockport County), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stockport County) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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