Northampton Town 1-2 Wycombe Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.95
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.95
6+ Goals
10%
18.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 32% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.44
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
5%
13.65
X/1
13%
6.05
X/2
13%
4.89
X/X
12%
4.33
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
17%
3.3
2/X
11%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -15%
1.14/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.07
+14% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
241 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 69%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
17.9 Crosses 19.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northampton Town
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.91 xG 0.97
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
341 Passes 166
72% Pass Accuracy 57%
20 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.08.2024 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-2 HT 0-2 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İNLK
16.03.2024 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 2-0 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
02.09.2023 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
09.08.2022 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İNLK
04.09.2018 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İNTK
14.08.2018 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northampton Town
1-2
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers
1.00 xG 2.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
220 Passes 272
66% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Northampton Town vs Wycombe Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wycombe Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Northampton Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Wycombe Wanderers found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Northampton Town had 47% of the ball to Wycombe Wanderers's 53%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 1.00 to 2.50 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Wycombe Wanderers's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wycombe Wanderers led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Northampton Town and 1.50 for Wycombe Wanderers.

What was the final score of Northampton Town vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Northampton Town 1-2 Wycombe Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northampton Town vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northampton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 36%, draw 28%, Wycombe Wanderers 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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