Mansfield Town 2-1 Cambridge United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.06
6+ Goals
12%
9.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.33
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
18%
4.28
X/2
8%
8.56
X/X
8%
5.45
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
21.85
2/2
13%
6.09
2/X
8%
14.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 12% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 27%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
3.26/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.11
+68% / -68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 72%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
25.0 Crosses 18.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mansfield Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cambridge United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.47 xG 1.37
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
260 Passes 223
68% Pass Accuracy 62%
21 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.02.2021 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-3 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN2
02.12.2020 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-1 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
01.01.2020 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-3 HT 2-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
17.09.2019 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-4 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN2
06.04.2019 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN2
22.09.2018 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-1 HT 0-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mansfield Town
2-1
AWAY Cambridge United
1.33 xG 1.29
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
356 Passes 347
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 39
23 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mansfield Town vs Cambridge United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mansfield Town squeezed past Cambridge United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mansfield Town as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Mansfield Town had 50% of the ball to Cambridge United's 50%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.33 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mansfield Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mansfield Town and 1.67 for Cambridge United.

What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Cambridge United?

Mansfield Town 2-1 Cambridge United in the England - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mansfield Town vs Cambridge United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mansfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mansfield Town 46%, draw 24%, Cambridge United 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mansfield Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mansfield Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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