Shrewsbury 0-1 Charlton Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.09
6+ Goals
7%
19.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 34% vs market 29.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.75
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
4%
14.3
X/1
13%
7.31
X/2
15%
4.34
X/X
18%
4.29
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.75
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-4.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.2pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 50%
+2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
0.91/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.08
-11% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
232 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 74%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
17.7 Crosses 20.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shrewsbury
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Charlton Athletic
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.76 xG 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
199 Passes 334
65% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
30.09.2023 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-0 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
01.04.2023 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 6-0 HT 3-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
22.10.2022 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-1 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
23.04.2022 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-0 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
27.11.2021 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-0 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shrewsbury
0-1
AWAY Charlton Athletic
1.27 xG 0.90
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
209 Passes 159
64% Pass Accuracy 59%
20 Box Touches 19
31 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shrewsbury vs Charlton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlton Athletic edged past Shrewsbury 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Charlton Athletic as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shrewsbury had 55% of the ball to Charlton Athletic's 45%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.27 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlton Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Shrewsbury and 1.67 for Charlton Athletic.

What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Charlton Athletic?

Shrewsbury 0-1 Charlton Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shrewsbury vs Charlton Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charlton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shrewsbury 29%, draw 30%, Charlton Athletic 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlton Athletic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charlton Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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