Peterborough United 1-1 Lincoln City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
38%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.32
6+ Goals
12%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.89
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
10%
4.71
X/2
9%
6.65
X/X
10%
5.01
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
22%
4.67
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +31%
1.54/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.07
+11% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
364 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
21.8 Crosses 13.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough United
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Lincoln City
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.40 xG 1.24
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
390 Passes 248
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Lincoln City Lincoln City 0-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
07.10.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-0 HT 0-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
18.03.2023 Lincoln City Lincoln City 0-3 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
20.08.2022 Peterborough United Peterborough United 4-0 HT 3-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
01.05.2021 Peterborough United Peterborough United 3-3 HT 0-2 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
09.01.2021 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-1 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough United
1-1
AWAY Lincoln City
0.53 xG 0.98
71% Ball Possession 29%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
579 Passes 187
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Peterborough United vs Lincoln City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough United and Lincoln City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Peterborough United had 71% of the ball to Lincoln City's 29%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.53 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Peterborough United and 0.67 for Lincoln City.

What was the final score of Peterborough United vs Lincoln City?

Peterborough United 1-1 Lincoln City in the England - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough United vs Lincoln City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United 39%, draw 23%, Lincoln City 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Peterborough United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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