Northampton Town 0-2 Wycombe Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
11%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 29% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.57
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
5%
13.15
X/1
12%
6.45
X/2
11%
4.9
X/X
12%
4.54
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
19%
3.1
2/X
10%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 45%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.89/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.68
-66% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
264 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 70%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
28.0 Crosses 21.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northampton Town
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.13 xG 0.84
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
326 Passes 167
71% Pass Accuracy 57%
22 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2024 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 2-0 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
02.09.2023 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
09.08.2022 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İNLK
04.09.2018 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İNTK
14.08.2018 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İNLK
30.08.2016 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northampton Town
0-2
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers
0.27 xG 1.39
65% Ball Possession 35%
7 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
385 Passes 161
74% Pass Accuracy 56%
13 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Northampton Town vs Wycombe Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wycombe Wanderers beat Northampton Town 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Wycombe Wanderers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Northampton Town had 65% of the ball to Wycombe Wanderers's 35%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.27 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wycombe Wanderers led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Northampton Town and 1.67 for Wycombe Wanderers.

What was the final score of Northampton Town vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Northampton Town 0-2 Wycombe Wanderers in the England - League Cup on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northampton Town vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wycombe Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 34%, draw 27%, Wycombe Wanderers 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) ✓ BTTS No
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