Flint Town United 2-1 Connahs Quay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
48%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.63
No
55%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.78
6+ Goals
9%
7.92
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.21 — our 30% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-6.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
57%
-12.0pp
55%
BTTS No
43%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flint Town United EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 59%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
1.01/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.15
+1% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
274 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flint Town United
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Connahs Quay
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 7-2 HT 6-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
26.08.2024 Flint Town United Flint Town United 0-1 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
09.12.2023 Flint Town United Flint Town United 0-3 HT 0-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GALWK
31.12.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 0-0 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
26.12.2022 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-0 HT 0-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
11.02.2022 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-0 HT 1-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
POST-MATCH Flint Town United vs Connahs Quay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flint Town United nicked a narrow win over Connahs Quay 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Connahs Quay at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Flint Town United and 2.50 for Connahs Quay.

What was the final score of Flint Town United vs Connahs Quay?

Flint Town United 2-1 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flint Town United vs Connahs Quay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Flint Town United 28%, draw 24%, Connahs Quay 49%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAL More Wales - Premier League
25 Jan 2025
17:30 Haverfordwest County vs Bala Town Analysis →