Haverfordwest County 3-2 Bala Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.16
No
63%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.14
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
15%
5.14
6+ Goals
6%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
48%
+5.2pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.8pp
22%
Away Win
22%
-0.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.8pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Bala Town EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +13%
1.15/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.06
-29% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +47%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haverfordwest County
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bala Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
23.11.2024 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 0-0 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
04.10.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
13.01.2024 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 2-3 HT 1-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
21.10.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
22.10.2022 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-4 HT 1-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
20.08.2022 Bala Town Bala Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
POST-MATCH Haverfordwest County vs Bala Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haverfordwest County squeezed past Bala Town 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Haverfordwest County as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bala Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Haverfordwest County and 1.67 for Bala Town.

What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs Bala Town?

Haverfordwest County 3-2 Bala Town in the Wales - Premier League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs Bala Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 54%, draw 24%, Bala Town 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haverfordwest County) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Haverfordwest County) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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