Connahs Quay 7-2 Flint Town United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 26 Dec 2024

Connahs Quay
7-2 HT 6-1
Flint Town United
📅26/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

Connahs Quay vs Flint Town United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.83
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
9.33
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 29% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-2.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.7pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Connahs Quay v Flint Town United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Flint Town United EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.30/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/2.04
-15% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0

Connahs Quay vs Flint Town United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Connahs Quay
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Flint Town United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.08.2024 Flint Town United Flint Town United 0-1 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
09.12.2023 Flint Town United Flint Town United 0-3 HT 0-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GALWK
31.12.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 0-0 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
26.12.2022 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-0 HT 0-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
11.02.2022 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-0 HT 1-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
25.01.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-1 HT 0-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
POST-MATCH Connahs Quay vs Flint Town United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay ran out comfortable winners over Flint Town United 7-2. Half-time: 6-1. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 7-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Connahs Quay and 0.17 for Flint Town United.

What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Flint Town United?

Connahs Quay 7-2 Flint Town United in the Wales - Premier League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Flint Town United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 51%, draw 26%, Flint Town United 22%. The final score 7-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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