Newtown 0-2 Haverfordwest County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 26 Dec 2024

Newtown
0-2 HT 0-1
Haverfordwest County
📅26/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

Newtown vs Haverfordwest County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
50%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.66
2-3 Goals
48%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
3.94
6+ Goals
8%
18.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
4%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newtown v Haverfordwest County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newtown EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 53%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.02/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/0.80
-4% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / +34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
293 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Newtown vs Haverfordwest County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newtown
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Haverfordwest County
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
30.08.2024 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 3-0 HT 1-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
28.10.2023 Newtown Newtown 1-1 HT 1-1 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
09.09.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 0-4 HT 0-2 Newtown Newtown GAL
13.05.2023 Newtown Newtown 1-1 HT 1-1 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
11.12.2022 Newtown Newtown 2-0 HT 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
03.09.2022 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 2-3 HT 2-1 Newtown Newtown GAL
POST-MATCH Newtown vs Haverfordwest County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haverfordwest County got the better of Newtown 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Haverfordwest County as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newtown had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Newtown and 1.17 for Haverfordwest County.

What was the final score of Newtown vs Haverfordwest County?

Newtown 0-2 Haverfordwest County in the Wales - Premier League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newtown vs Haverfordwest County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Newtown 24%, draw 26%, Haverfordwest County 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haverfordwest County), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Haverfordwest County) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAL More Wales - Premier League
26 Dec 2024
15:30 Barry Town vs Penybont Analysis →
15:30 Cardiff MU vs Briton Ferry Analysis →
17:30 Connahs Quay vs Flint Town United Analysis →
17:30 Aberystwyth Town vs Bala Town Analysis →
17:30 Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints Analysis →