Barry Town 1-2 Penybont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.65
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
51%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.03
Over 2.5
59%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
3.65
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.03
6+ Goals
13%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+7.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
51%
Away Win
58%
-7.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
45%
-4.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
55%
+4.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.4pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barry Town EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Penybont EU Bookmakers 62%
+19% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.34/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/0.37
+40% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
176 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barry Town
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Penybont
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 3-2 HT 2-1 Penybont Penybont GALLK
04.10.2024 Penybont Penybont 4-1 HT 0-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
29.03.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
10.02.2024 Penybont Penybont 2-2 HT 0-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
28.11.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
26.09.2023 Penybont Penybont 1-0 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
POST-MATCH Barry Town vs Penybont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penybont squeezed past Barry Town 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Penybont as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penybont led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Barry Town and 1.67 for Penybont.

What was the final score of Barry Town vs Penybont?

Barry Town 1-2 Penybont in the Wales - Premier League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barry Town vs Penybont?

Before kick-off our model rated an Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Barry Town 26%, draw 23%, Penybont 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penybont), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Penybont) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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