Aberystwyth Town 0-0 Bala Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.09
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
50%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.38
6+ Goals
8%
13.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.38 — our 29% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
16%
+9.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.0pp
50%
Away Win
61%
-11.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Bala Town EU Bookmakers 66%
+2% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.28/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/1.50
+43% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -45%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberystwyth Town
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Bala Town
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
13.09.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 3-0 HT 3-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
17.11.2023 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 2-3 HT 1-1 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
11.11.2023 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GALWK
27.09.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
04.11.2022 Bala Town Bala Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
02.09.2022 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-4 HT 0-1 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
POST-MATCH Aberystwyth Town vs Bala Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberystwyth Town and Bala Town fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Bala Town at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bala Town led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Aberystwyth Town and 2.33 for Bala Town.

What was the final score of Aberystwyth Town vs Bala Town?

Aberystwyth Town 0-0 Bala Town in the Wales - Premier League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberystwyth Town vs Bala Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bala Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Aberystwyth Town 26%, draw 24%, Bala Town 50%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Bala Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bala Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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