Cardiff MU 1-3 Briton Ferry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.49
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.68
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.65
6+ Goals
13%
6.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
62%
-14.9pp
28%
Draw
20%
+7.4pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+7.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.8pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.80/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-10% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -40%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff MU
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Briton Ferry
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
23.08.2024 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 1-5 HT 0-2 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
POST-MATCH Cardiff MU vs Briton Ferry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Briton Ferry beat Cardiff MU 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cardiff MU at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Cardiff MU vs Briton Ferry?

Cardiff MU 1-3 Briton Ferry in the Wales - Premier League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff MU vs Briton Ferry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff MU win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 48%, draw 28%, Briton Ferry 25%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cardiff MU) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cardiff MU) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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