FC Goa 2-0 Chennaiyin FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.95
Over Pick
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.39
2-3
39%
1.75
4-5
25%
3.18
6+
11%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Goa The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Chennaiyin FC The Market 34%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -17%
1.45/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.25
+18% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
245 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
18.7 Crosses 21.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Goa
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Chennaiyin FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 1.45
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 Passes 213
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2024 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
20.04.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 2-1 HT 2-1 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
14.04.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 4-1 HT 3-1 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
05.11.2023 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
16.02.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 1-2 HT 0-1 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
21.10.2022 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Goa
2-0
AWAY Chennaiyin FC
1.77 xG 0.19
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
429 Passes 274
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Goa vs Chennaiyin FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Goa saw off Chennaiyin FC 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Goa as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FC Goa had 58% of the ball to Chennaiyin FC's 42%, shots finished 17-3, expected goals 1.77 to 0.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Goa had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FC Goa and 1.00 for Chennaiyin FC.

What was the final score of FC Goa vs Chennaiyin FC?

FC Goa 2-0 Chennaiyin FC in the India - Super League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Goa vs Chennaiyin FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Goa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Goa 42%, draw 25%, Chennaiyin FC 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Goa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Goa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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