Pineto 1-0 Campobasso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.81
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+3.0pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.3pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.7pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pineto EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Campobasso EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
1.48/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.37
+20% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pineto
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Campobasso
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
13.09.2025 Campobasso Campobasso 0-1 HT 0-1 Pineto Pineto İTC
02.03.2025 Campobasso Campobasso 1-3 HT 1-2 Pineto Pineto İTC
21.10.2024 Pineto Pineto 0-1 HT 0-0 Campobasso Campobasso İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pineto
1-0
AWAY Campobasso
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pineto vs Campobasso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pineto edged past Campobasso 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pineto as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pineto had 57% of the ball to Campobasso's 43%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pineto had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pineto and 0.67 for Campobasso.

What was the final score of Pineto vs Campobasso?

Pineto 1-0 Campobasso in the Italy - Serie C on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pineto vs Campobasso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pineto win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pineto 41%, draw 30%, Campobasso 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pineto), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pineto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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