Casertana 0-1 Trapani 1905 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.53
No
50%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.5
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.35
6+ Goals
10%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
30%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
67%
-5.8pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.6pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
36%
+14.1pp
50%
BTTS No
64%
-14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casertana EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Trapani 1905 EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.77/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.17
+4% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +46%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
367 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casertana
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Trapani 1905
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2025 Trapani 1905 Trapani 1905 2-0 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
27.04.2025 Trapani 1905 Trapani 1905 0-1 HT 0-1 Casertana Casertana İTC
14.12.2024 Casertana Casertana 0-1 HT 0-0 Trapani 1905 Trapani 1905 İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casertana
0-1
AWAY Trapani 1905
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Casertana vs Trapani 1905
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trapani 1905 nicked a narrow win over Casertana 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Casertana carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Casertana had 64% of the ball to Trapani 1905's 36%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Trapani 1905 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Casertana and 1.00 for Trapani 1905.

What was the final score of Casertana vs Trapani 1905?

Casertana 0-1 Trapani 1905 in the Italy - Serie C on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casertana vs Trapani 1905?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Casertana 61%, draw 22%, Trapani 1905 17%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Casertana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casertana) ✓ Under 2.5
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