Novara 3-1 Pro Patria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.47
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novara EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.31/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.21
-17% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
343 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novara
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Pro Patria
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2025 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-0 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTC
25.01.2025 Novara Novara 2-1 HT 0-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
01.10.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 1-1 Novara Novara İTC
13.01.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 3-0 HT 1-0 Novara Novara İTC
10.09.2023 Novara Novara 1-2 HT 0-2 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
15.03.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 1-0 Novara Novara İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novara
3-1
AWAY Pro Patria
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Novara vs Pro Patria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novara beat Pro Patria 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Novara as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Novara had 58% of the ball to Pro Patria's 42%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pro Patria led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Novara and 1.33 for Pro Patria.

What was the final score of Novara vs Pro Patria?

Novara 3-1 Pro Patria in the Italy - Serie C on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novara vs Pro Patria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Novara 53%, draw 26%, Pro Patria 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Novara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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