Catania 2-0 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.51
Over 2.5
33%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.19
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
5.17
6+ Goals
7%
32.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.19 — our 41% vs market 37.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.5pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catania EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.57/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/0.36
+0% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
396 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catania
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2025 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 4-1 HT 1-0 Catania Catania İTC
01.12.2002 Catania Catania 0-2 HT 0-1 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catania
2-0
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 0
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Catania vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catania got the better of Cosenza Calcio 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Catania as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Catania had 51% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 49%, shots finished 10-0.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cosenza Calcio led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Catania and 3.00 for Cosenza Calcio.

What was the final score of Catania vs Cosenza Calcio?

Catania 2-0 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catania vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Catania 50%, draw 30%, Cosenza Calcio 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catania), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Catania) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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