Ascoli vs Perugia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ascoli v Perugia — Team-Based Signals
Ascoli vs Perugia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Perugia
İTB
1-0
HT 1-0
Ascoli
İTB
0-1
HT 0-1
Perugia
İTB
Ascoli 2-1 Perugia — Actual Match Statistics
Ascoli edged past Perugia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Ascoli as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ascoli had 63% of the ball to Perugia's 37%, shots finished 15-7.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perugia led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ascoli and 0.83 for Perugia.
What was the final score of Ascoli vs Perugia?
Ascoli 2-1 Perugia in the Italy - Serie C on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ascoli vs Perugia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 45%, draw 29%, Perugia 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ascoli) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.