Hadiya Hosaena 1-2 Welwalo Adigrat Uni — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
34%
2.7
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
Over 2.5
29%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.53
No
63%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+3.2pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.1pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
36%
+1.2pp
63%
BTTS No
64%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Welwalo Adigrat Uni EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.39/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.21/0.21
+43% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
253 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
13.05.2025 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena 3-2 HT 0-0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni ETH
26.01.2025 Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-0 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
1-2
AWAY Welwalo Adigrat Uni
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Hadiya Hosaena vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welwalo Adigrat Uni squeezed past Hadiya Hosaena 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hadiya Hosaena at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hadiya Hosaena had 57% of the ball to Welwalo Adigrat Uni's 43%, shots finished 5-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hadiya Hosaena and 1.50 for Welwalo Adigrat Uni.

What was the final score of Hadiya Hosaena vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Hadiya Hosaena 1-2 Welwalo Adigrat Uni in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hadiya Hosaena vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hadiya Hosaena win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hadiya Hosaena 43%, draw 33%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hadiya Hosaena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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