Tlaxcala 2-1 Irapuato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 25 Jan 2026

Tlaxcala
2-1 HT 2-1
Irapuato
📅25/01/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2025/2026

Tlaxcala vs Irapuato Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tlaxcala v Irapuato — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Irapuato EU Bookmakers 42%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
0.89/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.00
-37% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / –
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
249 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards –

Tlaxcala vs Irapuato Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tlaxcala
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Irapuato
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
17.08.2025 Irapuato Irapuato 3-0 HT 2-0 Tlaxcala MEK2

Tlaxcala 2-1 Irapuato — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tlaxcala
2-1
AWAY Irapuato
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tlaxcala vs Irapuato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tlaxcala edged past Irapuato 2-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 23% / 41%) promised a tight game; Tlaxcala found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tlaxcala had 45% of the ball to Irapuato's 55%, shots finished 16-11.

What was the final score of Tlaxcala vs Irapuato?

Tlaxcala 2-1 Irapuato in the Mexico - Primera A on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tlaxcala vs Irapuato?

Before kick-off our model rated an Irapuato win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tlaxcala 36%, draw 23%, Irapuato 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Irapuato), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Irapuato) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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