Cancun FC 1-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+2.7pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.0pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+0.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -12%
1.62/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.77
-10% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cancun FC
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
16.08.2025 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-1 HT 0-1 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
26.01.2025 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
11.08.2024 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-2 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
17.01.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
15.10.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-5 HT 0-2 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
08.04.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-0 HT 1-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cancun FC
1-1
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Cancun FC vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cancun FC and Alebrijes de Oaxaca couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Cancun FC carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Cancun FC had 50% of the ball to Alebrijes de Oaxaca's 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cancun FC had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cancun FC and 0.50 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.

What was the final score of Cancun FC vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Cancun FC 1-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico - Primera A on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cancun FC vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cancun FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Cancun FC 56%, draw 22%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cancun FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cancun FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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