Venados 4-4 Dorados De Sinaloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
17%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-3.1pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.9pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venados EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -9%
2.78/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.64
+42% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venados
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
17.08.2025 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
06.04.2025 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 3-1 HT 2-0 Venados Venados MEK2
19.10.2024 Venados Venados 4-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
01.02.2024 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 2-3 HT 1-1 Venados Venados MEK2
16.10.2023 Venados Venados 4-1 HT 1-1 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
12.04.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-5 HT 0-2 Venados Venados MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venados
4-4
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Venados vs Dorados De Sinaloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venados and Dorados De Sinaloa shared the points in a 4-4 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Venados carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Venados had 42% of the ball to Dorados De Sinaloa's 58%, shots finished 12-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venados had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Venados and 1.17 for Dorados De Sinaloa.

What was the final score of Venados vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Venados 4-4 Dorados De Sinaloa in the Mexico - Primera A on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venados vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Venados 58%, draw 25%, Dorados De Sinaloa 17%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Venados) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Venados) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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