Leones Negros Udeg 0-0 Correcaminos UAT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.47
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
64%
-3.3pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.2pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
2.02/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.02
+1% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Correcaminos UAT
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
16.08.2025 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-2 HT 1-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
14.02.2025 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-3 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
31.08.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-1 HT 2-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
28.02.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-1 HT 0-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
21.09.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-2 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
03.02.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 3-1 HT 2-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
0-0
AWAY Correcaminos UAT
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leones Negros Udeg vs Correcaminos UAT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg and Correcaminos UAT played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Leones Negros Udeg at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Leones Negros Udeg had 56% of the ball to Correcaminos UAT's 44%, shots finished 19-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 1.33 for Correcaminos UAT.

What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs Correcaminos UAT?

Leones Negros Udeg 0-0 Correcaminos UAT in the Mexico - Primera A on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs Correcaminos UAT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 60%, draw 18%, Correcaminos UAT 21%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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