Correcaminos UAT 1-2 Leones Negros Udeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
4%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.3pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 48%
+11% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.63/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.40
+42% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Correcaminos UAT
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
14.02.2025 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-3 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
31.08.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-1 HT 2-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
28.02.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-1 HT 0-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
21.09.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-2 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
03.02.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 3-1 HT 2-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
22.07.2022 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 0-0 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
POST-MATCH Correcaminos UAT vs Leones Negros Udeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg nicked a narrow win over Correcaminos UAT 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; Leones Negros Udeg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Correcaminos UAT and 1.67 for Leones Negros Udeg.

What was the final score of Correcaminos UAT vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Correcaminos UAT 1-2 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Correcaminos UAT vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Correcaminos UAT 37%, draw 23%, Leones Negros Udeg 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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