CA La Paz 1-2 Mineros de Zacatecas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
30%
+9.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
36%
Away Win
45%
-8.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.4pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 49%
+9% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.66/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.03
+43% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
278 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA La Paz
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
08.03.2025 CA La Paz CA La Paz 0-2 HT 0-2 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
19.09.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 4-0 HT 3-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
18.04.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2-3 HT 0-3 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
08.03.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 3-0 HT 3-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
16.10.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-4 HT 1-3 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
05.01.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2-0 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
POST-MATCH CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mineros de Zacatecas edged past CA La Paz 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Mineros de Zacatecas made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mineros de Zacatecas led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CA La Paz and 2.67 for Mineros de Zacatecas.

What was the final score of CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

CA La Paz 1-2 Mineros de Zacatecas in the Mexico - Primera A on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA La Paz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CA La Paz 39%, draw 25%, Mineros de Zacatecas 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CA La Paz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CA La Paz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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